When we challenged Bittner about the calculation, she said, "What we're
trying to demonstrate is the depth of commitment that Chafee had to
supporting Bush's agenda. Beyond, that I'm not going to get into math
questions."
Still hoping to get an accurate percentage, we asked Bittner what the
actual number of votes was. She said she didn't have the data available.
So we turned to "Politics in America 2006," an almanac from
Congressional Quarterly, and found the annual percentages cited by the
governors association.
It turns out they do not reflect how often Chafee voted with Bush and
the conservative leadership. They only reflect his votes supporting the
president. (The percentages are based on the editors' assessments of
what the president probably wanted, as gleaned from speeches and other
sources; not all votes were included.)
The other problem with the percentages cited by Bittner: Bush wasn't
president in 2000. So when the association says that Chafee opposed the
president 12 percent of the time in 2000, they're talking about Democrat
Bill Clinton, not Bush.
The almanac includes a separate listing of how often Chafee voted with
his Republican colleagues in the Senate, but those percentages make
Chafee look even less loyal to the GOP.
Unfortunately, the almanac doesn't include vote totals, so we couldn't
calculate Chafee's overall voting percentage in either category.
So we went to a source that does have the numbers we needed -- the U.S.
Congress Votes database at WashingtonPost.com. It indicates how often
candidates follow the party line and gives the total number of votes
that serve as the basis for the calculation. It does not estimate how
often a member of Congress supports or opposes the president.
Chafee served in the 106th through 109th Congresses, casting 2,244
votes. He voted with the Republican Party 1,577 times. That's 70
percent, not 76 percent.
That may not seem like a big difference, but consider the context.
During the 2001-2002 sessions, the only Republican senator less likely
to vote with the GOP was James Jeffords of Vermont, who left the GOP in
2001 to become an Independent. Chafee voted with his party 71 percent of
the time.
In the 2003-2004 sessions, Chafee ranked lowest in party loyalty among
all Republicans, voting with the GOP 78 percent of the time.
And during the 1999-2000 and 2005-2006 sessions, Chafee was the least
likely of ANY senator -- Democrat or Republican -- to vote with his or
her party (62 percent and 68 percent, respectively).
The folks at the Democratic Governors Association are taking estimates
of how often Chafee supported Bush, manipulating them improperly and
mischaracterizing them by ignoring how often he opposed his mostly
conservative GOP colleagues. We recommend courses in remedial math and
history. To help motivate them, we'll give them a Barely True.
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