Robitaille, a former aide to current Republican Governor Don Carcieri,
runs slightly stronger this month, but the overall numbers have changed
very little from the first Rasmussen Reports survey of the race in late
February.
Chafee was appointed to the Senate in 1999 following the death of his
father, Senator John Chafee. He was elected to a full Senate term in
2000 but lost his bid for reelection in 2006. Chafee, who often clashed
with the Senate GOP leadership because of his liberal political views,
became an independent in 2007.
This helps to explain why he picks up very few of the state's GOP
voters now but runs stronger among Democrats than either of the
candidates hoping to be the Democratic gubernatorial nominee. The
ex-senator also leads all his competitors among voters not affiliated
with either of the major parties.
Carcieri is term-limited and cannot seek reelection. Both parties pick their nominees in September 14 primaries.
Rhode Island voters like the national health care plan passed by
Congress more than voters do nationally. Fifty-seven percent (57%) of
voters in the state favor it, while 41% are opposed. This includes 34%
who Strongly Favor the plan and 31% who Strongly Oppose it.
No matter which Democrat is in the race, Chafee carries more than half
of voters who Strongly Favor the health care plan. Robitaille earns the
support of 60% or more of those who Strongly Oppose the plan.
Twenty-five percent (25%) of Rhode Island voters have a very favorable opinion of Chafee, while 21% regard him very unfavorably.
Robitaille is viewed very favorably by six percent (6%) and very
unfavorably by seven percent (7%). He is the least-known of the
candidates, with 35% who have no opinion at all of him.
For Caprio, very favorables are 16% and very unfavorables six percent
(6%). Fifteen percent (15%) view Lynch very favorably, and 25% see him
very unfavorably.
At this early stage of the campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the
very favorable and very unfavorable figures more significant than the
overall favorability totals.
Fifty-five percent (55%) of Rhode Island voters favor the requirement
in the new health care law that every American must buy or obtain
health insurance. Forty-two percent (42%) oppose that requirement.
These findings include 35% who Strongly Favor it, and 32% who are
Strongly Opposed.
Thirty-four percent (34%) think Rhode Island should join the states
that are suing the federal government to block the health care plan
because they believe that requirement is unconstitutional. Fifty
percent (50%) oppose that kind of lawsuit.
Fifty-one percent (51%) believe the overall health care plan is good
for the country. Thirty-six percent (36%) say it's bad for the country,
but just three percent (3%) say it will have no impact.
Forty-four percent (44%) favor repeal of the plan, including 31% who
Strongly Favor it. Fifty percent (50%) oppose repeal, with 40% who
Strongly Oppose it.
That's why 50% say they'd vote for a candidate who opposes repeal, while 42% prefer one who wants to roll back the plan.
The national anti-incumbency mood is not quite so strong in Rhode
Island either. Currently, 51% of voters in the state think it would be
better for the country if most incumbents in Congress were defeated
this November. Twenty-six percent (26%) say it would be better if most
incumbents were reelected.
However, 39% say their local representative in Congress deserves to be reelected. Forty-one percent (41%) disagree.
Forty-four percent (44%) of Rhode Island voters predict that the
economy will be stronger a year from now, but 31% think it will be
weaker. Seventeen percent (17%) expect no change.
Barack Obama took 63% of the vote in Rhode Island in the 2008 election.
Sixty-one percent (61%) of the state's voters currently approve of the
job he is doing as president, with 42% who Strongly Approve.
Thirty-nine percent (39%) disapprove of his performance, including 30%
who Strongly Disapprove. Obama earns a much higher job approval rating
in Rhode Island than he has nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily
Presidential Tracking Poll.
Forty-three percent (43%) approve of how Carcieri is doing as governor,
but 55% disapprove, unchanged from the previous survey. This includes
19% who Strongly Approve of his job performance and 35% who Strongly
Disapprove.
Rasmussen Reports also has released recent polls on the 2010 governor's
races in Arizona, Wisconsin, Texas, California, Colorado, Florida,
Georgia, Massachusetts, Michigan, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New
Mexico, New York, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina,
Tennessee, Vermont and Hawaii.
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